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A Foot In The Box

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The Stat Dozen: 2016 Hitting

June 8, 2016 Paul Elliott

Moneyball (2011)

Last week, I delivered the first installment of what we’re calling The Stat Dozen. That edition was focused on pitching; this week I turn my attention to hitting.

* All 2016 stats through June 6 (min. 80 PA). 2015 stats: min. 200 PA

Best OPS (On-base plus slugging)

PlayerTeamOPS
David OrtizRed Sox1.156
Matt JoycePirates1.129
Daniel MurphyNationals1.042
Jung Ho KangPirates1.014
Yangevis SolartePadres0.998
(2015) Bryce HarperNationals1.109

Who could have predicted this group would be here over two months into the season? After watching Peyton Manning limp to the finish line of his career, it’s refreshing to see a legend go out in style. But given his early season dominance, at what point does the 40-year-old Ortiz consider extending his career one more season?

Worst OPS

PlayerTeamOPS
Daniel CastroBraves.433
Erick AybarBraves.434
Carl CrawfordDodgers.464
Ben RevereNationals.472
A.J. PierzynskiBraves.496
(2015) Rene RiveraRays.489

Sans Carl Crawford (who was released last week), the worst four hitters in baseball are still getting consistent playing time. That might make sense for the awful Braves (although you could make a case that Pierzynski and Aybar should be replaced by younger options), but there’s no reason for the Nationals to stick with Revere as their everyday left fielder (and LEADOFF HITTER!)

Batters that pull the ball the most

PlayerTeamPull %
Hang CongerBraves57.4
Chris YoungBraves56.4
Bryan HoladayDodgers56.3
Asdrubal CabreraNationals55.1
Yangevis SolarteBraves54.4
(2015) Brian DozierRays60.2

When the Red Sox signed OF Chris Young last off-season, many praised the move because of Young’s pull tendencies fitting well at Fenway Park. In spite of limited playing time in a crowded outfield, Young has performed well thus far in 2016 (.295/.368/.577).

Batters that pull the ball the least

PlayerTeamPull %
Juan LagaresMets20.3
D.J. LeMahieuRockies22.8
Phil GosselinDiamondbacks23.3
Odubel HerreraPhillies24.1
Adonis GarciaBraves24.1
(2015) D.J. LeMahieuRockies21.2

Although every hitter in the history of baseball has tried to “stay up the middle and to the opposite field,” this group has put their money where their mouth is. Former Cubs farmhand LeMahieu in particular has proven to be a consistent opposite-fielder hitter throughout his career.

Batters that make the hardest contact

PlayerTeamHard Contact %
Jung Ho KangPirates51.5
David WrightMets47.5
David OrtizRed Sox47.5
Franklin GutierrezMariners45.8
Justin SmoakBlue Jays44.8
(2015) Giancarlo StantonMarlins49.7

The Pirates third baseman is proving that his superb rookie season was no fluke. Kang ranks 3rd in the NL in OPS and has made more hard contact than any hitter through the first two months of the season.

Batters that make the softest contact

PlayerTeamSoft Contact %
Kelby TomlinsonGiants33.9
Kevin PlaweckiMets33.8
Dee GordonMarlins33.8
Carlos PerezAngels32.7
Carlos GomezAstros31.8
(2015) Jarrod DysonRoyals31.8

When the Astros traded for the volatile Gomez last summer, they were counting on one and a half years of production in return. Unfortunately, he has yet to find his rhythm in 2016, posting a disappointing slash line of .186/.240/.271 in 140 at-bats.

Biggest hacks

PlayerTeamO-Swing %
Jeff FrancoeurBraves46.2
Matt KempPadres44.1
Javier BaezCubs43.9
A.J. PierzynkskiBraves42.6
Erick AybarBraves42.3
(2015) Pablo SandovalRed Sox47.8

O-Swing % is calculated by the number of pitches a batter swings at outside the zone divided by the total number of pitches outside the zone. Once deemed “The Natural” by Sports Illustrated, Francoeur is now the Braves starting left fielder and cleanup hitter. Lest that lead you to believe he has turned into a good player, Francoeur has produced a league-average OBP (.319) and SLG (.397) so far in 2016.

Most selective

PlayerTeamO-Swing %
Matt JoycePirates13.9
Alex AvilaWhite Sox14.8
A.J. EllisDodgers15.3
Christian YelichMarlins15.7
Kevin ElliottStorm16.5
(2015) A.J. EllisDodgers14.2

After finishing 2015 as poorly as possible (0-for-28), Joyce has been one of the most surprising players of 2016. The Pirates signed him to a minor league deal and invited him to spring training to compete for the fourth outfielder spot. After earning his stay in the spring, Joyce has gotten on base in over 46% of his 90 plate appearances, to go along with a .662 slugging percentage.

Batters that see the most fastballs

PlayerTeamFastball %
Ben RevereNationals75.1
Angel PaganGiants70.6
A.J. EllisDodgers69.5
J.J. HardyOrioles68.3
Billy HamiltonReds67.9
(2015) A.J. EllisDodgers69.3

Typically, batters that see lots of fastballs are either a) bad hitters or b) good base stealers. Or in the case of Billy Hamilton, both.

Batters that see the least fastballs

PlayerTeamFastball %
Jung Ho KangPirates42.5
Mark TrumboOrioles45.4
Kendrys MoralesRoyals46.6
Pedro AlvarezOrioles47
Sean RodriguezPirates47.1
(2015) Pedro AlvarezPirates47.3

Predicted by many to be in the cellar of the AL East, the Orioles have been one of the three best teams in the AL over the first two months of the season. One of the main reasons for the O’s outperforming preseason predictions has been Trumbo, who has hit 20 bombs (MLB leader).

Most runs per game

TeamRuns
Red Sox5.9
Cubs5.4
Cardinals5.4
Mariners5.1
Rockies5.1
(2015) Blue Jays5.5

The Red Sox lineup has been even better than the vaunted Blue Jays attack from last year. My favorite Red Sox stat? Heading into play on Sunday, the Red Sox have averaged over one run per first inning so far this year.

Least runs per game

TeamRuns
Braves3.1
Phillies3.2
Twins3.7
Yankees3.8
Marlins3.8
(2015) Braves3.5

One of the more amazing things that’s occurred so far this year is the Braves 15-game homerless streak in April. Atlanta is now up to 23 team HR, which is just three more than Mark Trumbo and less than half as many as the next team (Royals: 47).

← James Shields Joins Long List of White Sox Blunders in Williams Era The Stat Dozen: 2016 Pitching →